League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium MK

MK Dons
2 - 1
Crewe

Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

Last Six:

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Wycombe
Sunday, May 8 at 6.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rotherham United	46	37	90
3	MK Dons	46	34	89
4	Sheffield Wednesday	46	28	85

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38
23	AFC Wimbledon	46	-26	37
24	Crewe Alexandra	46	-46	29

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

With more quality in their ranks and momentum on their side, everything points to an MK Dons win on Tuesday. Manning's men have their sights set on the top two, and they should not be derailed at home to the league's basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
69.19%	18.6%	12.21%

Both teams to score 48.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.89%

43.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.49%

65.51%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.66%

11.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.98%

36.03%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.54%

45.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.7%

81.3%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 69.18%

Crewe Alexandra 12.21%

Draw 18.6%

MK Dons	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 12.21% 1-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 6.99% 4-0 @ 4.83% 4-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.75% 5-0 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.63% Total : 69.18%	1-1 @ 8.85% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.81% Total : 18.6%	0-1 @ 4.06% 1-2 @ 3.49% 0-2 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.21%