League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Barrow
Saturday, November 4 at 1.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Burton Albion

This looks like a very even contest that both sides will feel they can win but would rather not lose. We are expecting a tight match here and feel that these sides will not be separated after 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Burton Albion
42.1% ( 0)	27.46% ( 0)	30.43% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.22% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.82% (

-0.02)

57.18% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.96% (

-0.02)

78.04% (

0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

-0.01)

26.81% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

-0.01)

62.1% (

0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89% (

-0.02)

34.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

-0.02)

70.8% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 42.09%

Burton Albion 30.43%

Draw 27.46%

Northampton Town	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 12.03% 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.09%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.43%