League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
We said: Oxford United 2-1 Carlisle United
Manning will feel that he and his Oxford side are under pressure to deliver in this game, whereas Carlisle can play with a certain level of freedom. Despite those contrasting mentalities, we are backing Oxford to edge this fixture, potentially with a goal in the closing stages.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.53% . A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.53%) . The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result Oxford United Draw Carlisle United 31.95% ( -0.01) 27.52% ( -0.01) 40.53% ( 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.62% ( 0.01)
43.06% ( 0.02) 56.94% ( -0.02)
22.15% ( 0.02) 77.85% ( -0.02)
67.11% ( 0) 32.89% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.54% ( 0.01) 69.46% ( -0)
72.45% ( 0.02) 27.55% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.93% ( 0.02) 63.07% ( -0.02)
Oxford United 31.95%
Carlisle United 40.53%
Draw 27.52%
Oxford United Draw Carlisle United 1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.95% 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.52% 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.53%
rhs 2.0
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