League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Clarke-Harris (18', 44' pen.)
Kyprianou (31'), Clarke-Harris (50')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Thompson (87' og.)
Thompson (58'), Pack (69')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Peterborough
Monday, January 16 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Peterborough United 2-2 Portsmouth

Although Pompey have won their last two matches, we think that they may have to settle for a point against a Peterborough side who would have taken confidence from their 2-0 victory over Port Vale in Ferguson's first game back in charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Portsmouth
52.31% ( -0.01)	24.55% ( -0.01)	23.14% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.21% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45% (

0.05)

50.54% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53% (

0.05)

72.46% (

-0.05)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.7% (

0.02)

19.29% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.96% (

0.02)

51.04% (

-0.02)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.45% (

0.05)

36.54% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.67% (

0.05)

73.33% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 52.3%

Portsmouth 23.14%

Draw 24.54%

Peterborough United	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.3%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.14%