League One

League One | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
0 - 0
Oxford Utd

Massey (44'), Smith (45'), Benning (45+4'), Pett (60'), Worrall (74')
Politic (90+2')

McGuane (58'), Joseph (74')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Port Vale and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Port Vale
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Oxford United

Oxford will be desperate to claim their first win since January, but having failed to win on their last four trips to Vale Park, we think that they will have to settle for a point on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Oxford United
35.31% ( 0.01)	28.13%	36.57% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.4% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.27% (

-0)

58.74% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74% (

-0)

79.26% (

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.45% (

31.55% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.05% (

67.95% (

-0)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.25% (

-0.01)

30.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.99% (

-0.01)

67.01% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 35.3%

Oxford United 36.57%

Draw 28.12%

Port Vale	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.3%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 11.44% 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.57%