League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Port Vale

Mata (28'), Udoh (48')
Winchester (43'), Perry (45+2'), Bennett (56'), Anderson (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Garrity (57')
Ojo (45+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Blackpool 4-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Port Vale

Shrewsbury may have suffered a disappointing defeat in their away meeting with Blackpool, but after winning five of their last six competitive home matches, we think that they will get the job done against Port Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Port Vale
39.41% ( 0.03)	26.01% ( -0)	34.57% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.98% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.59% (

0.02)

50.41% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.65% (

0.02)

72.34% (

-0.02)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.86% (

0.03)

25.13% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.15% (

0.04)

59.84% (

-0.03)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1% (

-0)

27.9% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

-0)

63.51% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 39.41%

Port Vale 34.57%

Draw 26.01%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.41%	1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.57%