FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
0 - 2
Port Vale

Lubala (15'), Hamer (18')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Massey (31'), Cass (82')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Burton Albion and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 2-1 Port Vale

Although Burton are winless in five competitive matches, four of those games have taken place away from the Pirelli Stadium. Having won four of their previous five home encounters, we think that the Brewers will make full use of home advantage to secure their passage to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Port Vale
37.49% ( 0.02)	25.42%	37.1% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.28% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.44% (

0.01)

47.56% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.24% (

0.01)

69.77% (

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13% (

0.01)

24.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.52% (

0.01)

59.48% (

-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92% (

-0)

25.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.23% (

-0)

59.78% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 37.49%

Port Vale 37.1%

Draw 25.41%

Burton Albion	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 37.49%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 0.95% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 37.1%