League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 7pm UK

The DW Stadium

Wigan
2 - 0
Carlisle

Magennis (16' pen.), Morrison (36')
Clare (45+2'), Morrison (66'), Shaw (72'), Watts (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Edmondson (45+2'), Robinson (47'), Barclay (54'), Mellish (60'), Moxon (82'), Maguire (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Derby
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-1 Carlisle United

Although Wigan have experienced a poor run of recent results, we think that they will make full use of home advantage to beat a Carlisle side that have lost four of their last five league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Wigan Athletic	Draw	Carlisle United
45.61% ( 0.12)	25.61% ( 0.02)	28.77% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 52.95% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32% (

-0.14)

50.68% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42% (

-0.13)

72.58% (

0.12)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

-0.01)

22.19% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

-0.01)

55.6% (

0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05% (

-0.17)

31.95% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6% (

-0.2)

68.4% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Wigan Athletic 45.61%

Carlisle United 28.77%

Draw 25.6%

Wigan Athletic	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 45.61%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.77%