League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
1 - 1
Carlisle

Stockley (35')
Wiredu (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moxon (27')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Carlisle United

While both these sides are carrying very poor recent records into this match, Fleetwood's draw away to league leaders Portsmouth last week would have given them a much-needed boost of confidence, which they will look to carry into this match. With both sides averaging less than a goal a game, we are certainly not expecting a goal fest here, but we are backing the hosts to edge this one by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Carlisle United
43.38% ( -0.16)	25.19% ( 0.02)	31.42% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 55.76% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.32% (

-0.01)

47.68% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.12% (

-0.01)

69.88% (

0.01)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.05% (

-0.07)

21.95% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.76% (

-0.12)

55.24% (

0.12)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

0.09)

28.56% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.65% (

0.12)

64.35% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 43.39%

Carlisle United 31.42%

Draw 25.19%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 43.39%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.42%