League Two

League Two | Gameweek 36

Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK

Globe Arena

Morecambe
1 - 3
Newport

Songo'o (20')
Lavelle (38')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Dolan (8' pen.), Sheehan (45+1'), Ellison (79')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Newport County
35.26%	26.89%	37.85%

Both teams to score 51.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.03%

53.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59%

75.41%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8%

29.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85%

65.14%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34%

27.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.79%

63.2%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 35.26%

Newport County 37.85%

Draw 26.88%

Morecambe	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.26%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.85%