League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
4 - 2
Forest Green

Evans (60', 63'), Payne (69'), Delaney (84')
Bogle (18'), Evans (18'), Payne (50')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Delaney (2' og.), Stevens (33')
McAllister (16'), Morton (38'), Jones (41'), McCann (45'), Moore-Taylor (75')
Jones (51')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Newport
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Forest Green 0-0 Gillingham
Friday, December 22 at 7pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newport County 1-0 Forest Green Rovers

Neither side have a ton of creativity or imagination, but Forest Green have a lot less quality in the attacking third, and we believe Newport will eventually wear them down and win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
47.62% ( -0.03)	25.29% ( 0.01)	27.09% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.77% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.64% (

-0.02)

50.36% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.7% (

-0.02)

72.3% (

0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84% (

-0.02)

21.16% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.97% (

-0.03)

54.03% (

0.03)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.93% (

33.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.34% (

69.66% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Newport County 47.62%

Forest Green Rovers 27.09%

Draw 25.28%

Newport County	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.62%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 7% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.09%