League Two

League Two | Gameweek 20

Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
1 - 2
Newport

Mellon (12')
Major (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Evans (28'), Palmer-Houlden (57')
Bennett (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wrexham 6-0 Morecambe
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Newport County
42.92% ( 0.02)	25.38% ( 0)	31.7% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.25% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.61% (

-0.02)

48.39% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.47% (

-0.02)

70.53% (

0.02)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52% (

22.48% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.97% (

56.03% (

-0)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

-0.02)

28.73% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43% (

-0.03)

64.57% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 42.92%

Newport County 31.7%

Draw 25.38%

Morecambe	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.92%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.7%