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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Morecambe |
46.15% ( -0.42) | 25.56% ( 0.14) | 28.29% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 52.81% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% ( -0.42) | 50.72% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% ( -0.38) | 72.62% ( 0.38) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( -0.37) | 21.97% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.74% ( -0.56) | 55.26% ( 0.56) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( -0) | 32.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.16% ( -0.01) | 68.84% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |