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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Gillingham |
44.34% ( -1.54) | 28.06% ( -0.37) | 27.61% ( 1.91) |
Both teams to score 45.14% ( 2.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.62% ( 2.13) | 60.38% ( -2.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.47% ( 1.59) | 80.52% ( -1.59) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% ( 0.2) | 27.12% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.48% ( 0.27) | 62.51% ( -0.27) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.94% ( 2.85) | 38.05% ( -2.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.18% ( 2.65) | 74.82% ( -2.65) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 13.46% ( -1.04) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.85) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.34) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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