League Two

League Two | Gameweek 28

Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
3 - 0
Crawley

Bugiel (40', 47'), Angol (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mutch (38'), Roles (61'), Lynch (72'), Addai (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Crawley Town

Crawley are rarely thrashed despite their lowly league position, but we expect Sutton to continue their strong form by squeezing out a vital victory. Gray's side have won 10 league games at home this season, whereas Crawley have been defeated in 11 of their winless 17 trips away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Crawley Town
61.44% ( 0.01)	22.61% ( -0.01)	15.95% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.54% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.89% (

0.02)

52.11% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.16% (

0.02)

73.83% (

-0.02)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48% (

0.01)

16.52% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.73% (

0.02)

46.27% (

-0.02)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.55% (

0.01)

45.44% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.71% (

0.01)

81.29% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 61.43%

Crawley Town 15.95%

Draw 22.61%

Sutton United	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 61.43%	1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.61%	0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.2% 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.11% 2-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 15.95%