League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
0 - 1
Stockport

Morris (2'), Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Brynn (60'), Williams (62')
Wakeling (1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Croasdale (80')
Rydel (45+4'), Lewis (48'), Knoyle (49'), Lemonheigh-Evans (64'), Wootton (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 4-4 Swindon
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stockport County

All competitions

Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stockport County

Neither side is in great form, and both need a win as a draw will not do them many favours in reaching their desired targets. However, it is tough to separate the sides, and despite scoring four at Rochdale last week, Swindon, like Stockport, have not been overly prolific recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Stockport County
37.34%	25.49%	37.17%

Both teams to score 56.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.11%

47.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.94%

70.06%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.9%

25.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.2%

59.8%

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.81%

25.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.08%

59.92%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 37.34%

Stockport County 37.17%

Draw 25.49%

Swindon Town	Draw	Stockport County
1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.34%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 0.95% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.75% Total : 37.17%