Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 28.89% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Almeria win is 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
28.89% ( -0.12) | 25.31% ( 0) | 45.8% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 54% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( -0.08) | 49.35% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( -0.07) | 71.4% ( 0.07) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.83% ( -0.12) | 31.17% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( -0.15) | 67.51% ( 0.15) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( 0.02) | 21.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.38% ( 0.03) | 54.62% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.89% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |