Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Apr 7, 2024 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
1 - 0
Rennes

Akliouche (25')
Kehrer (36'), Singo (58')
Kehrer (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Theate (81')
Terrier (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 2-5 Monaco
Saturday, March 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 1-0 Rennes
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

This might be the match for Monaco to end their lengthy winless run at home, as Rennes are not a strong away side and have plenty of defensive issues like Les Monegasques, and we believe the overall quality of the home side will prevail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Rennes
45.44% ( -0.31)	24.56% ( 0.19)	29.99% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 57.14% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.46% (

-0.81)

45.54% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.13% (

-0.78)

67.86% (

0.77)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86% (

-0.46)

20.14% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.58% (

-0.75)

52.41% (

0.74)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55% (

-0.33)

28.45% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79% (

-0.41)

64.21% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Monaco 45.44%

Rennes 29.99%

Draw 24.56%

Monaco	Draw	Rennes
2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.44%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.99%