Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
1 - 2
Toulouse

Ben Yedder (78')
Aguilar (12')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aboukhlal (70'), Healey (90+4')
Sierro (58'), Healey (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Monaco
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Auxerre
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sitting outside the top five on goal difference, Monaco should strengthen their bid for European football with a relatively comfortable victory over Toulouse, who have nothing to play for on the final day of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Toulouse
44.89% ( 1.64)	24.56% ( 0.15)	30.55% ( -1.78)

Both teams to score 57.46% (

-1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.75% (

-1.4)

45.26% (

1.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4% (

-1.35)

67.6% (

1.36)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74% (

0.15)

20.27% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39% (

0.23)

52.61% (

-0.23)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

-1.82)

27.93% (

1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.44% (

-2.39)

63.56% (

2.4)

Score Analysis

Monaco 44.89%

Toulouse 30.55%

Draw 24.56%

Monaco	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.89%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.55%