La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 20, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Strand Larsen (50')
de la Torre (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 5-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, May 14 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Celta Vigo

Neither team will enter this match in the best of form, but we are expecting Athletic to emerge victorious on Saturday afternoon. Celta could be missing their first-choice front two this weekend, which makes the Lions even bigger favourites to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Celta Vigo
55.22% ( 0.31)	25.42% ( -0.1)	19.36% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 43.84% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.29% (

0.09)

57.71% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.54% (

0.07)

78.46% (

-0.07)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05% (

0.16)

20.95% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.31% (

0.26)

53.69% (

-0.26)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.46% (

-0.2)

44.54% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.43% (

-0.16)

80.56% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 55.22%

Celta Vigo 19.36%

Draw 25.42%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 14.58% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.22%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.36%