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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2023 at 9pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Sevilla logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Sevilla


Sancet (72'), Alvarez (90'), Garcia (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ocampos (90+2' pen.)
Lamela (37'), Acuna (45'), Ocampos (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla

Both sides enter Thursday's showdown in strong form, so we expect Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla to dish up a closely-fought battle as they look to continue their respective hot streaks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
55.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 25.25% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 19.62% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (-0.11 -0.11)56.84% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (-0.087 -0.09)77.77% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)20.64% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (-0.132 -0.13)53.2% (0.135 0.13)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.26% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)43.74% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.09% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)79.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.11%
    Sevilla 19.62%
    Draw 25.24%
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 14.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.11%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.62%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic Bilbao
37.3%
Draw
26.7%
Sevilla
36.0%
75
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 8
Sevilla
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Torres (4')
Isco (38')
Vesga (73')
May 22, 2022 9pm
gameweek 38
Sevilla
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
gameweek 17
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
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Thursday, June 20
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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