La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 12, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 0
Celta Vigo

De Paul (84')
Witsel (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Starfelt (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Atletico
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo

Celta's recent form has been impressive, and they will enter this match in good shape, but Atletico's work is not done when it comes to finishing inside the top four, and Simeone's side are so strong at home. We are not expecting a classic, but the capital side should navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
61.79% ( 0.3)	21.02% ( -0.18)	17.19% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 53.03% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.57% (

0.59)

43.43% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.17% (

0.58)

65.83% (

-0.58)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.48% (

0.28)

13.52% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.42% (

0.56)

40.58% (

-0.56)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.32% (

0.21)

38.67% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.58% (

0.2)

75.41% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 61.78%

Celta Vigo 17.19%

Draw 21.02%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 61.78%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.02%	0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.19%