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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Augsburg |
74.15% ( -0.04) | 14.56% ( 0.02) | 11.29% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.42% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.61% ( -0.01) | 25.39% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.58% ( -0.02) | 45.42% ( 0.02) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.15% ( -0.01) | 5.85% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.54% ( -0.03) | 22.46% ( 0.03) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.24% ( 0.03) | 34.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.51% ( 0.03) | 71.49% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.3% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 3.07% 5-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 4.59% Total : 74.16% | 1-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 14.56% | 1-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 11.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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