Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

May 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Bayern

Schmidt (87')
Pieper (20'), Friedl (31')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
Cancelo (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Schalke 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Bayern Munich

While Werder will be keen to make one final push to secure their Bundesliga status, Bayern are hoping to build on last weekend's victory and end the season strongly as they bid to fend off competition from Dortmund for the title. Considering the visitors' exceptional record against the hosts, we can see Tuchel's men outscoring their opponents and extending their lead at the summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Bayern Munich
15.9% ( 0.05)	17.3% ( 0.12)	66.79% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 64.06% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.03% (

-0.5)

27.96% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.3% (

-0.62)

48.7% (

0.61)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.5% (

-0.28)

30.49% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29% (

-0.33)

66.71% (

0.32)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.16% (

-0.17)

7.83% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.21% (

-0.42)

27.78% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 15.9%

Bayern Munich 66.79%

Draw 17.3%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 15.9%	1-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 17.3%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 4.97% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 2.53% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 1-6 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 66.79%