Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Apr 1, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
4 - 2
Dortmund

Kobel (13' og.), Muller (18', 23'), Coman (50')
Upamecano (64')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Can (72' pen.), Malen (90')
Can (12')

The Match

Match Report

Bayern Munich hammer title rivals Borussia Dortmund 4-2 in Thomas Tuchel's first game, leapfrogging their Klassiker rivals at the top of the Bundesliga table.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Bayern
Sunday, March 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 6-1 FC Koln
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
66.32%	17.22%	16.46%

Both teams to score 65.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.68%

26.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.37%

46.62%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.5%

7.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.07%

26.93%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22%

28.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37%

64.63%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 66.32%

Borussia Dortmund 16.46%

Draw 17.22%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-0 @ 6.25% 1-0 @ 5.59% 4-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 4.85% 4-0 @ 4.05% 4-2 @ 3.14% 5-1 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 2.1% 5-2 @ 1.63% 4-3 @ 1.3% 6-1 @ 1.13% 6-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.68% Total : 66.32%	1-1 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 2.16% 3-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 0.46% Total : 17.22%	1-2 @ 4.34% 0-1 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.63% Total : 16.46%