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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
54.01% ( -0.27) | 22.99% ( 0.18) | 23% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.92% ( -0.71) | 44.08% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.54% ( -0.7) | 66.46% ( 0.7) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.75% ( -0.35) | 16.26% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.21% ( -0.63) | 45.79% ( 0.63) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( -0.32) | 33.1% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% ( -0.35) | 69.7% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 54.01% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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