Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Luton Town |
47.59% ( -0.01) | 24.45% ( -0) | 27.96% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.16% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.79% ( 0.01) | 46.21% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.49% ( 0.01) | 68.5% ( -0.01) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.49% ( 0) | 19.5% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.61% ( 0) | 51.38% ( -0.01) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% ( 0.01) | 30.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% ( 0.01) | 66.39% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.59% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 27.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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