Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
0 - 1
AC Milan

Gilardino (10+10'), De Winter (69'), Martinez (86')
Martinez (90+13')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pulisic (87')
Hernandez (21'), Florenzi (22'), Musah (47'), Adli (62'), Tomori (90+9')
Maignan (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Genoa
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Milan may have just two goals to show from their last seven Champions League fixtures, but their front line have proven capable of finding the net regularly in Serie A. Continuing a fine record at Marassi, the second-city side can leave Liguria with all three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
Genoa	Draw	AC Milan
34.7% ( -0.61)	25.86% ( 0.03)	39.44% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 54.53% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.29% (

-0.2)

49.71% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.27% (

-0.18)

71.72% (

0.19)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

-0.47)

27.49% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.01% (

-0.61)

62.98% (

0.61)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.2% (

0.22)

24.8% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.62% (

0.31)

59.38% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Genoa 34.7%

AC Milan 39.44%

Draw 25.85%

Genoa	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.7%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.44%