Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
2 - 0
Genoa

Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Genoa

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Both sides have been difficult to break down in recent months but they have also struggled to find the net, so a low-scoring contest could be on the cards at San Siro. However, Milan will be the firm favourites to come away with maximum points and they should have enough quality in their side to edge past the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Genoa
77.87%	14.8%	7.33%

Both teams to score 41.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.13%

40.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.73%

63.26%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.39%

8.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.27%

29.72%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.84%

54.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.63%

87.37%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 77.86%

Genoa 7.33%

Draw 14.8%

AC Milan	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 14.02% 3-0 @ 11.46% 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-0 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 4.31% 5-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 2.12% 6-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.53% Total : 77.86%	1-1 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 4.66% 2-2 @ 2.64% Other @ 0.48% Total : 14.8%	0-1 @ 2.86% 1-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 2.32% Total : 7.33%