Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
3 - 0
Genoa

Osimhen (32'), Insigne (65' pen.), Lobotka (81')
Lobotka (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Galdames (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79
4	Juventus	38	20	70

Genoa

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Napoli are unbeaten in their last 12 home meetings with Genoa in Serie A - winning on eight occasions and keeping a clean sheet in four of the last five - so precedent is certainly on their side. They have not been impregnable on home soil this term, though, and the combination of Blessin's organisation and belief from the fightback against Juve could spur the Grifone on to take a potentially precious point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 79.25%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Genoa
79.25% ( -0.02)	13.34% ( 0.01)	7.4% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.17% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.91% (

0.03)

33.09% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.17% (

0.04)

54.82% (

-0.04)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.42% (

-0)

6.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.52%

24.48% (

-0)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.56% (

0.05)

48.44% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.45% (

0.04)

83.55% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Napoli 79.24%

Genoa 7.4%

Draw 13.34%

Napoli	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.28% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.5% Total : 79.24%	1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 13.34%	0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 7.4%