Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Mar 18, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 0
Torino

Portanova (14')
Skiri Oestigaard (10'), Bani (84')
Skiri Oestigaard (24')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Izzo (88'), Pobega (90'), Ansaldi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Torino

Last Six:

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50
11	Sassuolo	38	-2	50

While Torino have all but sealed their top-flight status for another season, the pressure is on Genoa to claim three valuable points as they bid to steer themselves clear of danger. A low-scoring affair could be on the cards at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris, and even though there is little to separate the two teams, we are backing the hosts to end their 25-game winless run with a slender success on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Torino
31.67%	27.21%	41.11%

Both teams to score 49.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.13%

55.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.02%

76.98%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.47%

32.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.94%

69.06%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27%

26.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38%

61.99%

Score Analysis

Genoa 31.67%

Torino 41.11%

Draw 27.21%

Genoa	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.67%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.57% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.11%