Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 28, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
0 - 0
Napoli

Romagnoli (55'), Gila (69'), Cataldi (82')

Demme (49'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Lazio
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio and Napoli have not drawn any of their last 14 Serie A contests, with four wins for the Biancocelesti and 10 for their Neapolitan rivals. A first stalemate since November 2016 could be on the cards, though, as both teams are diminished by absences and may be satisfied with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Napoli
35.1% ( -0.07)	28.54% ( -0.02)	36.35% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 46.17% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.76% (

0.07)

60.23% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.58% (

0.05)

80.41% (

-0.05)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.55% (

-0.01)

32.45% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.03% (

-0.01)

68.97% (

0.02)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35% (

0.09)

31.64% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.94% (

0.11)

68.05% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Lazio 35.1%

Napoli 36.35%

Draw 28.53%

Lazio	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.1%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.53%	0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.35%