Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Mar 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
0 - 1
Lazio

Osimhen (63'), Elmas (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vecino (67')
Patric (21'), Marusic (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Lazio inflict a first home Serie A defeat of the season on runaway league leaders Napoli to move second in Serie A.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Napoli
Saturday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Sampdoria
Monday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.32%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 22.63% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Lazio
55.32% ( 0.55)	22.05% ( -0.18)	22.63% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 58.78% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.78% (

0.4)

40.21% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.41% (

0.41)

62.58% (

-0.41)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53% (

0.31)

14.47% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56% (

0.6)

42.43% (

-0.61)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.72% (

-0.1)

31.28% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37% (

-0.12)

67.63% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Napoli 55.32%

Lazio 22.63%

Draw 22.04%

Napoli	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.32%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.04%	1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 22.63%