Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Feb 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
0 - 2
Atalanta

Zaccagni (40')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zappacosta (23'), Hojlund (65')
Scalvini (57'), de Roon (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Lazio
Monday, February 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lazio 2-1 Atalanta BC

No team has scored more Serie A goals inside the first half-hour of play than Lazio (14), so there is always the chance they can catch their visitors cold with a fast start. If they do take the lead on Saturday, they will be doubly determined to make amends for recent lapses and keep Atalanta at bay - though not without some difficulty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Atalanta BC
39.01% ( -0)	26.27% ( 0)	34.72% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.15% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52% (

-0)

51.48% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.71% (

-0)

73.28% (

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.15% (

-0)

25.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.19% (

-0)

60.81% (

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.67% (

-0)

28.32% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.94% (

-0)

64.05% (

Score Analysis

Lazio 39.01%

Atalanta BC 34.72%

Draw 26.27%

Lazio	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.01%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.72%