Coppa Italia | Round of 16

Jan 19, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 0
Bologna

Anderson (33')
Zaccagni (61'), Alberto (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sosa (57'), Zirkzee (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Lazio and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Lazio
Sunday, January 15 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manager Maurizio Sarri has enough attacking options in reserve to rest some of his big-hitters and cope with the absence of Immobile while still getting the job done here. A lack of available striking options will affect the visitors, as they may need to rely on pace on the counter-attack to have any chance here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Bologna
57.01% ( -0.05)	21.81% ( 0)	21.18% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 57.51% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.07% (

0.04)

40.93% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.68% (

0.05)

63.32% (

-0.05)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.83%

14.17% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.13% (

-0)

41.86% (

-0)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67% (

0.07)

33% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42% (

0.07)

69.58% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Lazio 57.01%

Bologna 21.18%

Draw 21.81%

Lazio	Draw	Bologna
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 57.01%	1-1 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.81%	1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 21.18%