Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
36.7% | 25.14% | 38.16% |
Both teams to score 57.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.7% | 46.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.41% | 68.59% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.28% | 24.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.73% | 59.27% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.06% | 23.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.84% | 58.16% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.96% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.85% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.91% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 8.46% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2% Total : 38.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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