Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 21, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
0 - 2
Napoli

Bradaric (75'), Pirola (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Di Lorenzo (45+3'), Osimhen (48')
Min-jae (44'), Ndombele (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 8-2 Salernitana
Sunday, January 15 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Cremonese (4-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 17 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salernitana 0-2 Napoli

Serie A top scorers Napoli have recorded the most goals during the first half of games this season (21), while Salernitana have conceded the most in the opening 45 minutes (19). Given these sides' most recent league outings, that suggests the hosts can build a lead they will not relinquish and top up their tally with another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Napoli
13.79% ( -0)	17.72% ( -0.01)	68.49% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.46% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.07% (

0.05)

34.93% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.09% (

0.06)

56.91% (

-0.06)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.25% (

0.03)

37.75% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.47% (

0.03)

74.53% (

-0.03)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.71% (

0.02)

9.29% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.64% (

0.04)

31.35% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 13.79%

Napoli 68.49%

Draw 17.72%

Salernitana	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 3.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 13.79%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.72%	0-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.64% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 4.57% Total : 68.49%