Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Nice |
33.56% ( -0.3) | 26.37% ( -0.03) | 40.07% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.94% ( 0.06) | 52.06% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.21% ( 0.05) | 73.79% ( -0.05) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.66% ( -0.16) | 29.34% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.68% ( -0.2) | 65.31% ( 0.2) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% ( 0.2) | 25.54% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.6% ( 0.28) | 60.39% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.56% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |