Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Reims |
40.33% ( 0.82) | 26.79% ( 0.09) | 32.88% ( -0.9) |
Both teams to score 51.09% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.07% ( -0.51) | 53.93% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.62% ( -0.43) | 75.38% ( 0.43) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.74% ( 0.21) | 26.25% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.63% ( 0.28) | 61.37% ( -0.28) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.28% ( -0.84) | 30.72% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.03% ( -1.01) | 66.97% ( 1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |