Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
35.82% ( -0.81) | 26.54% ( 0.13) | 37.63% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 52.38% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.49% ( -0.55) | 52.5% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.83% ( -0.48) | 74.17% ( 0.48) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% ( -0.74) | 28.15% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.17% ( -0.95) | 63.83% ( 0.95) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% ( 0.13) | 27.09% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.53% ( 0.17) | 62.47% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |