Championship

Championship | Gameweek 10

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Cardiff

Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 2-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City

Middlesbrough's newfound mettle will be put to the test and then some on Tuesday night, and Carrick's backline are unlikely to walk away unscathed, especially with their ongoing crisis on the left-hand side. However, Cardiff have also been prone to defensive collapses on rival turf this season, and an entertaining draw could prolong the feel-good factor around the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
56.82% ( 0.11)	22.12% ( -0.22)	21.05% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 56.24% (

0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.48% (

1.1)

42.51% (

-1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.08% (

1.09)

64.92% (

-1.09)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23% (

0.41)

14.77% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.99% (

0.78)

43.01% (

-0.78)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.98% (

0.72)

34.01% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.3% (

0.78)

70.69% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 56.82%

Cardiff City 21.05%

Draw 22.12%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Cardiff City
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 56.82%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.05%