Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Feb 17, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
1 - 1
Genoa

Ngonge (90')
Skiri Oestigaard (26'), Kvaratskhelia (42'), Di Lorenzo (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Frendrup (47')
Vasquez (50'), Vitinha (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Napoli
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 1-4 Atalanta
Sunday, February 11 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Short of a cutting edge, Napoli simply cannot compile a good run of results and are often left frustrated at Stadio Maradona. Having proven their mettle since promotion, Genoa are well-placed to take advantage, so the Grifone may return north with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw has a probability of 23.8% and a win for Genoa has a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Genoa win it is 0-1 (6.59%).

Result
Napoli	Draw	Genoa
56.05% ( 0.8)	23.81% ( -0.2)	20.14% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 49.46% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.15% (

0.09)

50.85% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.27% (

0.08)

72.73% (

-0.08)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

0.33)

17.98% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.16% (

0.57)

48.83% (

-0.57)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.3% (

-0.58)

39.7% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.62% (

-0.54)

76.37% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Napoli 56.03%

Genoa 20.14%

Draw 23.8%

Napoli	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 56.03%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.8%	0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.14%