Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Sep 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
1 - 2
Lazio

Zielinski (32')
Garcia (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Alberto (30'), Kamada (52')
Zaccagni (26'), Alberto (60'), Sarri (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Genoa
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

The last league draw between these clubs came almost seven years ago, when Maurizio Sarri was in charge of Napoli. Given their sluggish start, Lazio would surely take a point from this high-profile clash at Stadio Maradona, but the hosts have started smoothly under new management and pose a greater goal threat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Lazio
61.18% ( -0)	21.61% ( 0)	17.22%

Both teams to score 51.14% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03%

45.97% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72%

68.28% (

-0)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.47%

14.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.44% (

-0)

42.56%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.83% (

40.17% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.19%

76.81% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Napoli 61.16%

Lazio 17.22%

Draw 21.6%

Napoli	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.37% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.58% Total : 61.16%	1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.6%	0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.43% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.22%