Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 15, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 3
Nice

Mbappe (29', 87')
Barcola (83'), Skriniar (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moffi (21', 68'), Laborde (53')
Thuram (35'), Bard (63'), Moffi (70'), Bulka (71'), Lotomba (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 1-4 PSG
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Nice

With Mbappe not quite at 100% and several international players possibly being kept in reserve ahead of two blockbuster fixtures, Friday's showdown has the potential to be a particularly uncomfortable one for PSG. Nice are seldom blown away on rival territory, and the rapid Moffi should ask several questions of Les Parisiens' permeable backline, but we still have faith in the champions to record a third win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Nice had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nice
51.67% ( 0.07)	23.4% ( 0)	24.93% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 56.93% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.07% (

-0.08)

43.93% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.68% (

-0.08)

66.31% (

0.07)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.96% (

-0.01)

17.04% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.81% (

-0.01)

47.19% (

0.01)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.63% (

-0.1)

31.37% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.26% (

-0.11)

67.74% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 51.67%

Nice 24.93%

Draw 23.39%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nice
2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 51.67%	1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.93%