Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
2 - 2
Sevilla

de Jong (86' pen.), Teze (90+5')
Veerman (27'), Lozano (90+1'), de Jong (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gudelj (68'), En-Nesyri (87')
Navas (36'), Bade (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSV 3-1 Volendam
Saturday, September 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Sevilla
Friday, September 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Sevilla

While there has been a notable uptick in Sevilla's performances in the last few weeks, PSV's record at home is formidable, and they have begun this season exceptionally well. We expect a high-quality match between these sides but feel the hosts will come out on top at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 3-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sevilla
69.44% ( 0.12)	16.76% ( -0.43)	13.8% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 60.41% (

2.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.97% (

3.01)

30.03% (

-3.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.77% (

3.55)

51.23% (

-3.55)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.18% (

0.78)

7.82% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.24% (

1.97)

27.75% (

-1.97)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.54% (

2.47)

34.46% (

-2.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.83% (

2.55)

71.17% (

-2.55)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 69.44%

Sevilla 13.8%

Draw 16.76%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sevilla
2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.81) 3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.93) 4-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.34) 4-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.31) 5-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.23) 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.2) 6-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.14) 6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.07) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.03% Total : 69.44%	1-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.48) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.76%	1-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.35% Total : 13.8%