There is an element of pressure on both teams to claim maximum points on Wednesday, with Real Sociedad seeking to secure top spot in Group D while Benfica must win to keep their top-two hopes alive.
Taking into account the previous meeting between these two sides, another closely-fought contest could be on the cards at the Reale Arena, but we are backing Alguacil's men to navigate their way to a slender success in front of their own fans.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 2-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
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