Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
1 - 1
Marseille

Emegha (6')
Bakwa (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Clauss (27')
Lodi (54'), Veretout (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Marseille

The spoils could be shared at La Meinau on Saturday, with caution taking hold as both sides favour avoiding defeat rather than pushing for maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Marseille
32.39% ( -0.29)	26.78% ( -0.1)	40.82% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 50.98% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.99% (

0.31)

54% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.56% (

0.26)

75.44% (

-0.26)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

-0.04)

31.08% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

-0.05)

67.4% (

0.05)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

0.35)

26.02% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

0.47)

61.06% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 32.39%

Marseille 40.81%

Draw 26.78%

Strasbourg	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.39%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.81%