Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 2
Strasbourg

Mbemba (49'), Sanchez (76' pen.)
Balerdi (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aholou (88', 89')
Delaine (6'), Nyamsi (40'), Djiku (72'), Sobol (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Marseille 3-0 Strasbourg

All the signs point towards a convincing win for title-chasing Marseille on Sunday, with the hosts likely to keep a clean sheet on their way to dispatching struggling Strasbourg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Strasbourg
62.07% ( 0.05)	21.41% ( -0.03)	16.53% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.7% (

0.08)

46.3% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.41% (

0.07)

68.59% (

-0.07)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.64% (

0.04)

14.36% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.78% (

0.08)

42.22% (

-0.08)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.79% (

0.02)

41.21% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.26% (

0.02)

77.75% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Marseille 62.05%

Strasbourg 16.53%

Draw 21.41%

Marseille	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 62.05%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.41%	0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.53%