Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Nov 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Jean Bouin

Angers
1 - 2
Lens

Blazic (87')
Capelle (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Said (21'), Medina (51')
Samba (86'), Danso (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Angers and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angers

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Angers
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Angers 0-3 Lens

Angers' defending at home speaks for itself, as they look far too timid and passive, something that we expect an in-form side like Lens will take advantage of on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Angers	Draw	Lens
21.19% ( 0.01)	24.2%	54.61% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.79% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82% (

0.01)

51.18% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.97% (

73.02% (

-0.01)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.2% (

0.01)

38.8% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.47% (

0.01)

75.53% (

-0.01)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.35% (

-0)

18.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.04% (

-0)

49.96%

Score Analysis

Angers 21.19%

Lens 54.59%

Draw 24.2%

Angers	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.44% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.46% Total : 21.19%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 5.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.41% 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.59%