Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
1 - 2
PSG

Honorat (43')
Belkebla (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
Mbappe (86')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Brest 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

While the premature Champions League exit may well have a significant impact on PSG - more specifically, PSG's manager - this summer, the capital outfit do not have a history of letting European disappointment seep into domestic proceedings. PSG are unbeaten in their last five league matches immediately following their Champions League elimination, a run the capital club are expected to extend when they visit Brest, one of Ligue 1's worst home sides, this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-3 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Brest	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
16.96% ( 0.34)	18.33% ( 0.1)	64.7% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 62.44% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.98% (

0.15)

31.01% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.59% (

0.18)

52.4% (

-0.18)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69% (

0.46)

31.31% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33% (

0.53)

67.66% (

-0.53)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.9% (

-0.06)

9.1% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.09% (

-0.14)

30.9% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Brest 16.96%

Paris Saint-Germain 64.7%

Draw 18.33%

Brest	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.21% Total : 16.96%	1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.33%	1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.92% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 1.27% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.18% Total : 64.7%